Graham Turner, CSIRO, June 2008.
A Comparison of The Limits To Growth With Thirty Years of Reality
In 1972, the Club of Rome’s infamous report “The Limits to Growth” presented some challenging scenarios for global sustainability. Contrary to popular belief, The Limits to Growth scenarios by the team of analysts from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology did not predict world collapse by the end of the 20th Century. This paper focuses on a comparison of recently collated historical data for 1970–2000 with scenarios presented in the Limits to Growth. The analysis shows that 30 years of historical data compares favorably with key features of a business-as-usual scenario called the “standard run” scenario, which results in collapse of the global system midway through the21 st Century.
Referenced in: wrd-002/‼5